The “very strong” El Niño currently present in the tropical Pacific is expected to persist until the first half of 2027, potentially reaching its peak by the end of 2026, the PAGASA said.

Although El Niño increases the likelihood of dry spells and drought in several areas in the country, episodes of heavy rainfall conditions may still occur due to the passage of tropical cyclones and other rain-bearing weather systems.

Based on the latest drought assessment, five provinces experienced meteorological drought, 11 provinces were under a dry spell, and 10 provinces experienced dry conditions in October this year.

“For November 2026, below normal to way below normal rainfall is expected over most parts of the country, with several provinces likely to experience meteorological drought/dry spell conditions by the end of the month. Warmer than average mean air temperatures are also expected across most parts of the country,” its press release read.

All concerned agencies are advised to implement appropriate sectoral interventions, conservation and mitigation measures, specifically water conservation and efficient management of water resources to minimize the potential impacts of El Niño.